罗思义：美国抹黑中国抗疫，伤害的是全世界（中英双语）

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作者罗思义(John Ross)系中国人民大学重阳金融研究院高级研究员、前伦敦经济政策署署长，本文刊于8月26日《环球时报》中英文版。

罗思义

随着德尔塔变异毒株的蔓延，美国新冠疫情再度迅速恶化，与中国抗击德尔塔的效果对比尤其明显。美国一些媒体越来越吵闹地试图掩盖这一事实。从中美两国疫情形势对比及美国媒体反应来看，美国政府的政策和宣传对美国人民以及包括中国在内的世界其他国家人民构成了威胁。

目前，全美日均新增病例近13万，比7月初本轮疫情开始时，激增700%以上。如果从新冠疫情暴发开始统计，美国累计确诊病例已达3805万例，中国大陆累计确诊病例12万多例；美国累计死亡病例63万多例，远远超过其在二战中死亡的人数，而中国大陆累计死亡病例5000多例。

自7月中旬以来，美国单日死亡病例最高时超过2600人，而中国大陆没有出现死亡病例。从7月21日本轮疫情前最后一次“归零”到8月21日再次“归零”，中国大陆境内累计确诊病例1285例，同一时期美国累计有340万确诊病例。

这种强烈的对比即使在美国也鼓励了一些相对客观的报道出现，考虑到美国政府对涉华舆论的严格控制，这是极不寻常的。比如，CNN报道称，本轮由南京开始蔓延的疫情，所面对的是传染性和危害性都要更强的德尔塔毒株。这是迄今为止对中国“零容忍”防疫政策的最大挑战。德尔塔毒株正促使一些国家考虑改变“清零”防疫策略。倘若继续按这一趋势发展，“中国可能会成为世界上第一个控制住由德尔塔毒株引发疫情的国家”。而彭博社也称，“经历了一个多月的抗疫战，中国再次遏制住了疫情”，而且到目前为止，“中国让所有确诊患者都活下来了”。

在中美鲜明的对比下，美国舆论对中国抗疫的“沉默之墙”甚至都出现了一道小小的裂缝，这激起了相当数量美国其他媒体的围攻。比如，福克斯新闻频道攻击CNN这个传统上美国外交政策的坚定支持者是“中国新闻网”（China News Network），“吹嘘中国的新冠疫苗接种率”，“令人惊讶”。

与此同时，一些所谓的“非政府组织”对中国发起了新一轮攻击，但事实上它们与美国政府的宣传并行不悖。例如，“人权观察”负责人肯尼斯·罗斯从2020年初开始就抨击中国应对新冠疫情的政策，他坚持认为西方的抗疫政策是更好的选择。他的说法基于一种奇怪的人权理念，说它奇怪在于，中国大陆累计死亡病例5000多例，而中国之外有400多万例。

在德尔塔毒株导致疫情反弹同时，人权观察组织发布了一份报告，宣称“中国政府在与致命的冠状病毒搏斗时，其‘威权主义’得到了充分展示”。这又是一个非常奇怪的人权理念，中国这个成功地保护了人民生命的国家据说并不保障人权，而美国这个导致大量本国公民死亡的国家却是人权的捍卫者。

与此同时，美国政府通过明显的协调动作在社交媒体上发起了一场运动，面对严重的疫情和剧增的死亡病例，一些狂热的口号被炮制出来，比如“有些事比生与死更重要”，“这不是指保卫战之类可以严肃讨论的话题，而是指所谓人可以不戴口罩的权利”。

总的说来，疫情再次迅速恶化的美国想的不是如何处理真正的危险，而是如何集中力量通过各种方法掩盖现实情况，最重要的是掩盖中国的成功抗疫。

但这种歪曲事实的做法，对美国人民以及包括中国在内的世界其他国家人民都构成了巨大威胁。

虽然中国率先采取了封锁、隔离以及与疫苗结合的有效方法来抗击新冠疫情，但国际经验表明，这些方法是可以被其他国家成功复制的。例如，新西兰明显分享了中国的抗疫经验，到目前为止该国只有26人死于新冠。2020年夏天，英国实施了一项成功的封锁战略，将死亡人数减少到每天7人，然后灾难性地放弃了这一战略，转而采用与美国相同的抗疫模式，自那以来，英国的累计死亡病例为9万例。

美国灾难性的抗疫及可怕的死亡病例摧毁了其过往的人权言论，因为最基本的人权是生存权。事实证明，中国是在捍卫人权，在新冠疫情的威胁下保卫人的生存。

如果中国采取美国的抗疫政策会是什么结果？中国的人口是美国的4倍多。如果平均病例数与美国相同，中国将有1.65亿例确诊病例。如果中国的人均死亡病例数与美国相同，那么将有270万人失去生命。换而言之，中国政府的政策挽救了270多万人的生命。

同样地，如果美国采取中国的抗疫政策，至今可能只会有2.2万例确诊病例以及不到1100例死亡病例，可现如今美国的疫情严重程度几乎是中国的600倍。对美国当政者来说，隐瞒这一点至关重要，这就是为什么美国正全力以赴地试图隐瞒它。

以下为英文版 

The COVID pandemic in the US is rapidly worsening again. This is in striking comparison to China. As this trend develops the dominant sections of the US media are becoming more strident in their attempts to conceal this situation. Looking at both the comparison of the COVID-19 situation situation in the US and China, and US media reactions to this, shows the threat to the US own people, other countries, and to China from US policy and propaganda.
Starting with the objective epidemic situation, the trend in the US is again rapidly deteriorating. The US daily average number of COVID-19 cases has risen to over 150,000 - a tenfold increase in six weeks. The average daily number of COVID-19 deaths is now 1,100.
The comparison of China and the US over the entire course of COVID-19 is graphic. There have been 38 million COVID-19 cases in the US compared to under 95,000 in the Chinese mainland. There have been 630,000 US COVID-19 deaths compared to under 4,700 in China. 
In terms of US history, the scale of COVID-19 deaths is horrific. It is now larger than the amount of Americans who died in World War II— 420,000. 
Looking in more detail at the situation since the emergence of the COVID-19 Delta variant, US deaths in the week ending Monday totaled 7,225 - for comparison the number of deaths in China was zero. Numerous other facts about the US situation can be found in the Chongyang Institute for Financial Studies, Renmin University of China report titled "America ranked first? the Truth about America's fight against Covid-19."
Turning to the treatment of this situation in US media, the stark contrast between the success of China in protecting its population against the COVID-19 Delta variant, and the failure in the US, has meant that even in the US a few relatively objective reports on China appeared - which is unusual given the normal tight control of the US media to maintain anti-China rhetoric. For example, a Monday Bloomberg report objectively noted, "It's been just over a month, and China has once again squelched COVID-19, bringing its local cases down to zero…the leaders of the world's most populous nation used the same playbook they followed to quell… previous flare-ups…" 
"First there was one asymptomatic infection… in Nanjing… In less than three weeks, daily cases ballooned to more than 100… Then it ended, almost as quickly as it began. The number of infections dropped to single digits the next week amid tightening curbs, then zero… China eliminated the virus in about a month, roughly the same time it took to quell previous outbreaks."
But the fact that the wall of silence about China's success in fighting COVID-19 showed even small cracks, compared to the rapidly worsening US situation, merely led to a frenzy of attacks in most US media. For example, Fox News, one of the most powerful US news channels, launched the following attack on CNN, a reliable supporter of US foreign policy, for publishing even a part of the factual situation in China, "CNN is being dubbed the 'China News Network' for publishing a report that boasted of the country's coronavirus vaccination rates…"
"A piece published on Friday raised eyebrows with the headline, 'China's about to administer its billionth coronavirus shot." In short, simply this factual report allegedly made CNN the "China News Network." 
Simultaneously a renewed attack on China was launched by so called "non-governmental organizations", but which in reality parallel US government propaganda. For example, the head of co-called "Human Rights Watch," Kenneth Roth, has from early 2020 attacked China's response to COVID-19. He upheld as a better alternative the West's policies - a strange conception of human rights when less than 5,000 people have died in China from COVID-19 and more than four million have died outside China! 
Human Rights Watch accompanied the outbreak of the Delta variant by issuing a report declaring that, "The Chinese government's authoritarianism was on full display… as it grappled with the deadly coronavirus outbreak." Once again, this is a very strange conception of human rights. China, which has successfully protected human lives, allegedly does not safeguard human rights.Yet the country in which large numbers of its citizens are dying claims to be a defender of human rights.
Paralleling this, there was an obviously centrally coordinated campaign launched via US social media. Faced with the huge US COVID-19 death toll, this contained feverish themes such as, "there are more important things than living and dying." This referred not to issues around which a serious discussion of this could take place, such as a defensive war, but to the alleged right not to wear a face mask.
In summary, the again rapidly worsening situation in the US with COVID-19 was met not with an attempt to deal with the real dangers but with a clearly centrally organized campaign to attempt to disguise by every means possible the real situation from the US people—and above all to conceal China's success. 
But the US attempt to suppress the facts poses a great danger for its own people, for other countries, and for China. 
While China pioneered the effective methods used to contain COVID-19 - lockdowns, quarantines and now combing these with vaccines - international experience shows these can be successfully copied by other countries. New Zealand, for example, explicitly said it based its strategy on China and has suffered only 26 deaths. In the summer of 2020, Britain pursued a successful lockdown strategy, reducing deaths to seven a day - before disastrously abandoning this in favor of the same COVID-19 response model as the US and since then suffering 90,000 deaths.  
The terrible US COVID-19 death toll destroys its rhetoric that it stands for human rights. The most fundamental human right is to be alive. It is China which is shown to be defending human rights by keeping its population alive against the threat of COVID-19. 
It is important for China to understand just how great the threat to its population would be from US policies. China's population is more than four times the US. If there were the same number of cases per capita as in the US, there would be 165 million cases in China compared to the actual 95,000. If there had been the same number of deaths per capita as in the US, 2.7 million people would be dead in China instead of less than 5,000. By these numbers, China's government policies have saved more than two and a half million Chinese people. 
But equivalently, if the US in per capita terms had been as successful as China it would have suffered only 22,000 cases and less than 1,100 deaths. The US reality is almost 600 times as bad. It is vital for the US to hide this. This is why it is working to conceal it by every means possible. 

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中国人民大学重阳金融研究院（人大重阳）成立于2013年1月19日，是重阳投资向中国人民大学捐赠并设立教育基金运营的主要资助项目。

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